What’s poppin’ League members?!?! Hopefully everyone is doing well personally and having fun managing their fantasy team in The League! For those of you who look forward to the weekly post, my apologies as my scheduled has been full to say the least as of late. Although I did manage to take a look at which teams are on their Bye Week and organize my roster accordingly. (I know, DAMN YOU! Lol) But wait a minute, did I say Bye Weeks? That’s right, if you haven’t already noticed, the NFL Bye Weeks start this week, so I hope your making your roster changes accordingly.
Note: I personally pay attention to all teams not managing their roster accordingly during the Bye Weeks, and I have NO PROBLEM removing a teams Owner/Coach for not managing their roster. (i.e… starting a player when they are on their bye.) Origins members seen this exact instance happen last season. There are exceptions though, I understand if your team has a significant amount of players on their bye week, you may just start a few so you don’t have to drop them from your roster altogether. If you have any questions regarding this, please feel free to hit me up at enviousstaff@gmail.com or on my phone at (813) 516-1978.
In this weeks edition, we will recap last week’s games, release this weeks Top 10 E.L.S.I.E. Poll and updated Power Rankings, check out this weeks head-to-head match ups, a new League Poll to vote on, and probably the most important of them all the Keeper’s Deadline, which is rapidly sneaking up on us all. So as I like to say, “Let’s Get To It!!!”
***The Keeper’s Deadline***
For EVERY League member team, the Keeper’s Deadline has been reverted back to Oct. 16th! Now I know the deadline was originally Oct. 16th, then moved up to Oct. 11th, this is in all parts due to the NFL.com website being full of $#!t! The Keeper’s Deadline will ALWAYS fall after Week 6 of the NFL season. (Or before any Week 7 games are played). This year, Seattle takes on Arizona on Thursday, Oct. 17th to kick off the Week 7 games, which is why our deadline was originally set for Oct. 16th! However after our live draft, the NFL.com website pushed that date up automatically to Oct. 11th as being the furthest date I could set it for. There must have been a glitch in their website because now I can reset the date back to its original setting which was for Oct. 16th. Because of all this confusion, I will set up a Keeper’s Deadline Countdown ticker on the home page that should keep Oct. 16th in the back of every league members mind!
Now, I get this question all the time from other fantasy league owners or players for that matter. “Why do you have your league set their keeper’s for next season so early?” Because I feel that by doing it this way, it makes for a more realistic feel for managing your team. But let’s dive more into that very question. A friend from work, his keeper league can set their keeper’s one week before their draft. So realistically, who would’ve kept Percy Harvin-WR or even Von Miller-LB in that league? Who when healthy (or not on suspension), are by far one of the 1st players drafted at their respective positions. Not very realistic if you ask me. Seattle can’t just drop Harvin, or decide to not keep him without penalty just because he’s injured. He’s under contract, and injuries are part of the game. Same goes for Denver and Von Miller, their not going to drop Miller because he’s on a league suspension. They deal with it while he’s out and hope he’s ready to go when his suspension is over.
Two examples from The League! – Origins that stand out to me the most last season was Rich (Clam Diggers) & Michael (The Monstars) Keeper moves. Rich had to decide on keeping Tony Gonzalez-TE, primarily because it was rumored all last season that he would retire at seasons end. After long consideration, he decided on not keeping Gonzalez. Although Gonzalez didn’t retire as we all know now, I still think it was a sound move by Rich as he didn’t tie up a roster spot on Gonzalez for this season and if he really thought Gonzalez was a key piece of his championship season from a year ago, he could’ve redrafted him. Long story short, he decided to go younger at the position by drafting Jordan Cameron-TE with their 5th Round Pick in the draft last season which has worked out nicely so far this year! Nice job Rich!
Michael made an even more impressive decision if you ask me about his teams keeper’s from last season. Michael’s The Monstars team was pretty stacked offensively last season (if their 9-3 regular season record didn’t say that itself) and he had not one player worth keeping on the defensive side of the ball. But by league rules, even if he used his team’s Franchise Tag option, he would still be required to keep one defensive player. Then in Week 5 of last season, Brian Cushing-LB goes down with a torn ACL. Cushing was dropped from that said teams roster and Michael quickly scooped him up! At the time, I’m sure EVERYBODY was wondering the same question…, “Why???” As Michael told me, Cushing is a top LB in the NFL and he was going to ride his torn ACL all the way into this season. I can’t argue with that logic, lol. Especially when he felt he didn’t have a defensive player worth keeping already on his roster. Great job Michael! Now that’s General Manager type thinking there.
***Franchise Tags***
For Class of 2013 members, this is where we explain the Franchise Tag Options for your teams keeper’s. Here is the official definition by league rules below…
By league rules, you are able to establish up to four players as your teams keeper’s. Two offensive players, and two defensive players. The only other variation that is acceptable by league rules is three offensive players & one defensive player… Or one offensive player & three defensive players. You CANNOT keep four offensive players only, or four defensive players only. If you choose to keep a third offensive player, or a third defensive player, you WILL have to Franchise Tag one of the three offensive players, or one of the three defensive players. Franchise Tagging a player really does nothing to your teams roster in the second season. However, whoever you do choose to Franchise Tag, MUST BE RETURNED to the third season draft pool.
So by interpreting the rules above, we will look at my teams keeper’s from last season the St. Pete ConVICKS as an example. Last season my teams keeper’s were Matt Forte-RB, C.J. Spiller-RB, NaVorro Bowman-LB, and Matthew Stafford-QB. Because I kept three offensive players, I had to exercise my teams Franchise Tag option. So I decided to Franchise Tag Matthew Stafford-QB. Now keep in mind, with me Franchise Tagging Stafford for year two, I have to return him to be drafted upon for year three in our keeper’s league. Whoever you decide to Franchise Tag for the next upcoming season, you will have to return to the draft to be drafted upon for the following season after that. Just like in the real NFL, players would rather have the long term contract instead of being Franchise Tagged, which is why we return that said player to be drafted upon following a Franchise Tagged season.
So my keeper’s for season two of my keeper’s league have been set from last season. But following this season, I have to return Stafford to the draft to be drafted upon. My logic in thinking when Franchise Tagging Stafford was that in the draft, I could take the best player available with already having my QB1, RB1 & RB2 already being established from the prior season. So if a top RB fell to me in the 1st round, I’d take him. What if Peyton Manning-QB (who wasn’t kept in the Origins league) was there for me in the 1st round, I’d definitely take him. Basically, with your teams Franchise Tag option, you get to see what it feels like to make those real General Manager decisions! But of course, deciding on how you will use your teams Franchise Tag option, or to not use it at all by just keeping two offensive & two defensive players is completely up to you.
Note: You can decide not to use your teams Franchise Tag option if you only want to keep two offensive players and two defensive players. A Second Note: A Franchise Tagged player being return to the draft pool CAN be redrafted by the team he was Franchised Tagged by. A Third Note: In any instance, you can only carry over a total of four players to your next years team roster.
***League Poll***
Brought to me by my Co-Commissioner was the idea of adding a Flex Roster spot to the defensive side of the ball. We currently already feature that on the offensive side of the ball with our RB/WR roster spot. If voted in by League members, this will be the 1st of a few polls about this topic as we would have to figure how we would put that roster spot in effect albeit DL/LB, DL/DB, or the more common approach of LB/DB. But I’m getting ahead of myself, the idea will 1st have to be voted in by league members. Again, ALL LEAGUE MEMBERS are required to vote as this would affect Origins & The Class of 2013. Remember, 75% (or 18 of 24 Owner/Coaches) will have to vote it in for it to be added to The League! next season and I may close the poll early depending on if 75% is still reachable or not by early vote totals! But here’s your chance to voice your opinion in The League!
Note: I may have failed to mention earlier that you MUST REGISTER with this website, TheELSIE.com to be able to vote on League Polls. I would suggest using the same Username & Password from the NFL.com website for two reasons. One, therefore you only have to remember the one log in & password information, and two, because I can always retrieve your log in credentials for this website, where I can’t with the NFL.com website. I’ve had several Origin members who couldn’t remember what Username & Password they used to log into the NFL.com website last season. Think about it, after the season is over you probably won’t log into the NFL.com website again until the next season is about to kick off. That’s 5 or 6 months. You could very easily forget your log in credentials with the NFL.com website and I CAN NOT retrieve that information for you. On this website TheELSIE.com, I can. 🙂
***Week 3 Recaps (Origins)***
I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks Picks Up Their 1st Win Against #5 Pick 6’n
I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks recorded the highest point total in the league this week and got past Pick 6’n, 146.46 – 129.74. I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks took a 23.56-point lead on Thursday and maintained a lead throughout the match up. I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks hit their projections and put up 6.8% more than their projected 137.08 points, while Pick 6’n fell short of their projections and scored only 84.0% of a projected 154.54. The outcome might have been different had Pick 6’n not had two starters score zero points (Jon Beason and Jared Allen). I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks (1-2, 420.22 points) gets their 1st big win of the season as Pick 6’n (2-1, 381.56 points) drops their 1st game of the season. Next week, I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks takes on the #10 NC Bad Boys (2-1, 403.60), while #8 Pick 6’n gets the Clam Diggers (2-1, 392.56).
NC Bad Boys Get Late Rally to Beat Maclin on Your Girl
The NC Bad Boys logged the second-highest point total in the league this week and erased a 5.36-point deficit on Sunday night, defeating Maclin on Your Girl, 146.14 – 120.80. Both teams met their expectations, but the NC Bad Boys picked up the win even while Maclin on Your Girl put up a solid effort and got 23.7% more than their projected 97.62 points. Maclin on Your Girl was led by Ahmad Bradshaw with 17.10 points (95 Rsh Yds, 1 TD) and Erin Henderson who scored 15.00 (2 Sack, 1 Int, 6 Tack). With the NC Bad Boys delivering goose eggs from two of their starters, the gap could have been wider. The NC Bad Boys (2-1, 403.60 points) moves into the Top 10 in this week’s E.L.S.I.E. Poll as Maclin on Your Girl (1-2, 375.92 points) looks to rebound from a tough loss. The #10 NC Bad Boys face I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks (1-2, 420.22) next week, while Maclin on Your Girl faces Peyton’s Girl (1-2, 364.04).
Clam Diggers Beats Peyton’s Girl to Put Them In Their Place
The Clam Diggers took down Peyton’s Girl, who found it difficult to score this week, 117.30 – 85.46. The Clam Diggers took a 24.84-point lead on Sunday afternoon and maintained a lead for the rest of the match up. Each team fell short of hitting their projections but the Clam Diggers got the win with just 71.0% of their projected 165.24 points. With the Clam Diggers delivering goose eggs from two of their starters, the margin could have been much bigger. The Clam Diggers (2-1, 392.56 points) falls out of this week’s Top 10 despite their win, while Peyton’s Girl (1-2, 364.04 points) drops out of the Top 10 as well. The Clam Diggers square off against #8 Pick 6’n (2-1, 381.56) in Week 4, while Peyton’s Girl battles Maclin on Your Girl (1-2, 375.92).
St Pete ConVICKS Tops Hakeem I Saw I Conquered, Streak Now at Three
The St Pete ConVICKS took down Hakeem I Saw I Conquered, who found it difficult to score this week, 116.60 – 81.42. The St Pete ConVICKS took a 3.00-point lead on Thursday and maintained a lead throughout the match up. These teams have had different fortunes so far, with the St Pete ConVICKS undefeated and Hakeem I Saw I Conquered winless. On top of the loss, Hakeem I Saw I Conquered had three starters put up zeroes. The St Pete ConVICKS (3-0, 429.70 points) remains the top ranked team in The League! and Hakeem I Saw I Conquered (0-3, 283.06 points) remains in the cellar. Next week, #1 St Pete ConVICKS squares off against DemBoys (2-1, 396.72), while Hakeem I Saw I Conquered gets The Monstars (1-2, 399.64).
BUCKNASTY’S BOYS Easily Handles DemBoys, Moves Back Into the Top 10
The BUCKNASTY’S BOYS picked up 15.24 points from Matt Ryan (231 Pas Yds, 2 TD/1 Int) to destroy DemBoys, 127.04 – 88.60. The BUCKNASTY’S BOYS took a 15.00-point lead on Thursday and remained in the lead for the rest of the match up. This was a bragging-rights result, with the 38.44-point margin being the fourth-highest recorded in the league this season. Adding insult to injury, DemBoys had two starters score zero points (Terrell Thomas and Geno Atkins). The BUCKNASTY’S BOYS (2-1, 372.56 points) climbs into this week’s Top 10 being ranked ninth as DemBoys (2-1, 396.72 points) drops out of the Top 10. The #9 BUCKNASTY’S BOYS will have to step up their game next week when they go up against a tough Weapons of Mass Production (1-2, 443.42), who averages a league-leading 147.81 points per game. DemBoys get the top ranked #1 St Pete ConVICKS (3-0, 429.70), who has averaged an impressive 143.23 points this season.
The Monstars Creeps Past Weapons of Mass Production to Sneak Out Their 1st Win
The Monstars got 27.78 points from Drew Brees (342 Pas Yds, 3 Pas TD/1 Int, 1 Rsh TD), slipping by Weapons of Mass Production, 135.38 – 132.46. While each team fell short of expectations, The Monstars scored 90.3% of their projected 149.94 points to get the win. DeMarco Murray brought in the third-highest score in the league this week with 28.30 points (175 Rsh Yds, 28 Rec Yds, 1 TD) for Weapons of Mass Production. With Jermichael Finley delivering zero points for The Monstars, the margin could have been bigger. The Monstars (1-2, 399.64 points) get their first win of the season as Weapons of Mass Production (1-2, 443.42 points) will look to regroup this week. The Monstars play Hakeem I Saw I Conquered (0-3, 283.06) next week in the annual Liotta Bowl, while Weapons of Mass Production battles #9 BUCKNASTY’S BOYS (2-1, 372.56).
Interesting Notes from The League – Origins from Week 3
- I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks and the Clam Diggers both won this week, even though neither had a top-15 scoring QB.
- So far this season, teams have won only 33.3% of the time when starting the league’s top-scoring QB of the week (1-2 overall).
- Teams have won 66.7% of the time this season when they throw for three or more Pass TDs in a week.
- The 146.46 points scored by I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks were the most this week and the 10th-highest overall in the league this season.
- Maclin on Your Girl beat their projections by a higher percentage than anyone else in the league this week. They put up 120.80 points when they were only projected 97.62.
- First-round draft choices proved their worth this week by averaging 10.83 points, while players chosen in the second round averaged 10.37 and third-rounders 5.74.
- The average projected score for Week Three was 138.50 points.
***Week 3 Recaps (Class of 2013)***
Steak n’ Eggs Gets Late Victory over High On Weeden
In an epic battle between the second- and third-highest-scoring teams of the week, Steak n’ Eggs came back and took down High On Weeden, 145.02 – 131.48. Only four teams scored more points than High On Weeden in a game this season and lost. High On Weeden drops their second straight game. Even with a 121.75 points per game average, which ranks ninth in the league, High On Weeden has a 1-2 record. Cam Newton (223 Pas Yds, 45 Rsh Yds, 3 Pas TD/1 Int, 1 Rsh TD) put up the second-highest point total in the league this week (28.42) and Matt Forte scored 17.10 points to lead Steak n’ Eggs. Russell Wilson (202 Pas Yds, 4 TD/1 Int) registered 20.48 points for High On Weeden. Steak n’ Eggs started one player who finished with zero while High On Weeden started two, meaning points were left off the scoreboard by both. In Week 4, newly ranked #7 Steak n’ Eggs meets #5 The Wilkesboro Boxers (2-1, 407.72). High On Weeden takes on #3 Hero7861 (2-1, 416.32), who is averaging an impressive 138.77 points per game.
Led by Unexpected Star DeMarco Murray, PizzaFreak Brings Down Hero7861
With the bonus production from DeMarco Murray playing a key factor, PizzaFreak upsets Hero7861, 128.28 – 108.16. Only projected to score 9.50 points, Murray exceeded expectations with 28.30 in the 20.12-point victory. Murray rushed for 175 yards as part of his unexpected effort (175 Rsh Yds, 28 Rec Yds, 1 TD). He also recorded the third-highest point total in the league this week. With LaRon Landry delivering zero points for PizzaFreak, the gap could have been wider. PizzaFreak (2-1, 412.24 points) climbs to number four while Hero7861 (2-1, 416.32 points) drops to number three. Next week, #4 PizzaFreak gets Eventual Champions (0-3, 350.74), while #3 Hero7861 goes up against High On Weeden (1-2, 365.26).
The Wilkesboro Boxers Gets Win Against Eventual Champions who Loses 3rd Straight
The Wilkesboro Boxers benefited from 19.20 points from Joique Bell (63 Rsh Yds, 69 Rec Yds, 1 TD) and 13.96 from Andrew Luck (164 Pas Yds, 1 Rsh TD) to beat Eventual Champions, 123.76 – 109.90. The Wilkesboro Boxers took a 20.20-point lead on Sunday afternoon and maintained a lead for the rest of the match up. Eventual Champions is having trouble getting started, and doesn’t have a win yet. To make matters worse, Eventual Champions had a starter score zero points (Hakeem Nicks). The Wilkesboro Boxers (2-1, 407.72 points) are now ranked fifth as Eventual Champions (0-3, 350.74 points) is still in search of their first win. #5 The Wilkesboro Boxers square off against #7 Steak n’ Eggs (2-1, 400.78) next week, while Eventual Champions goes up against #4 PizzaFreak (2-1, 412.24).
DeSeantourage Gets Win over V-Town, Takes Over Top Spot in Class of 2013
DeSeantourage (3-0, 403.32 points) claims first place in the Class of 2013 after beating V-Town (1-2, 362.26 points), 120.38 – 97.10. V-Town had a few problems scoring last week as DeSeantourage took a 34.08-point lead on Sunday afternoon and held the lead throughout the match up. DeSeantourage is having a strong start and remains undefeated. Both sides missed scoring opportunities as DeSeantourage had one starter turn in zero points and V-Town also had one. Next week, #2 DeSeantourage will match up against Surprise Scorpians (1-2, 394.56). V-Town plays #5 The Pride of Detroit (2-1, 458.00), who is averaging a league-leading 152.67 points per game.
Surprise Scorpians Pulls Off Comeback Victory Over I go Deep
Surprise Scorpians (1-2, 394.56 points) defeated I go Deep (1-2, 391.72 points) 130.14 – 121.30, led by Jamaal Charles (92 Rsh Yds, 80 Rec Yds, 1 TD) with 23.20 points. Surprise Scorpians struck first and by Sunday was already ahead 23.20 – 0.00. That advantage slipped away after the early Sunday games and they trailed by 17.70. However, by the conclusion of the Sunday night games Surprise Scorpians had the lead for good with the help of 10.00 points from Robbie Gould. Surprise Scorpians gets #2 DeSeantourage (3-0, 403.32) in Week 4 while I go Deep battles F-U-Pay-Me (1-2, 364.68).
Powered by Their Big Three, The Pride of Detroit Smacks F-U-Pay-Me Hard
The trio of Antonio Brown, Justin Houston, and Jimmy Graham carried the team, as The Pride of Detroit humiliated F-U-Pay-Me, 178.80 – 93.66. That threesome combined to score 83.90 points, substantially more than the top scorers from F-U-Pay-Me (Adrian Peterson, Fred Jackson, and Torrey Smith), who totalled 36.60 points. Brown racked up 196 yards, registering 33.00 points (196 Rec Yds, 2 TD). Meanwhile, Houston recorded four sacks (25.50 points) and Graham scored two touchdowns (25.40 points). Brown also recorded the highest point total in the league this week, with Houston tallying the highest point total of the season at his position. The Pride of Detroit had the highest score in the league this year, as well as the largest margin of victory. Adding insult to injury, F-U-Pay-Me got zero points from Richard Sherman. The Pride of Detroit (2-1, 458.00 points) climbs into being ranked sixth while F-U-Pay-Me (1-2, 364.68 points) drops their second game of the season. #6 The Pride of Detroit faces V-Town (1-2, 362.26) in Week 4 while F-U-Pay-Me faces I go Deep (1-2, 391.72).
Interesting Notes from The League – Class of 2013 from Week 3
- The Wilkesboro Boxers earned the win this week despite not starting a top-15 scoring QB.
- The Pride of Detroit used pass-catchers to their advantage by starting the league’s top-scoring WR (Brown with 33.00 points) and the top-scoring TE (Graham with 25.40) this week.
- Teams are now 2-0 this season when starting the league’s top-scoring QB of the week.
- First-round draft picks only averaged 11.46 points this week. Second-rounders put up an average of 9.46 points, while players chosen in the third round averaged a superb 11.60.
- Teams have won 60.0% of the time this season when they throw for three or more Pass TDs in a week.
- The Pride of Detroit scored 178.80 points this week, which is now the highest mark in the league this season.
- The average projected score for Week Three was 139.76 points.
***The Top 10 E.L.S.I.E. Poll (Week 4)***
1. St Pete ConVICKS (3-0)
2. DeSeantourage (3-0)
3. Hero7861 (2-1)
4. PizzaFreak (2-1)
5. The Wilkesboro Boxers (2-1)
6. The Pride of Detroit (2-1)
7. Steak n’ Eggs (2-1)
8. Pick 6’n (2-1)
9. BUCKNASTY’S BOYS (2-1)
10. NC Bad Boys (2-1)
Honorable Mention
– DemBoys (2-1)
– Clam Diggers (2-1)
***Power Rankings (Week 4)***
Origins:
Team || Power Ranking || Trending Up/Down
1. Weapons of Mass Production || 150.59 || ↓ 0.53
2. St Pete ConVICKS || 147.49 || ↑ 5.66
3. BUCKNASTY’S BOYS || 144.96 || ↓ 9.30
4. DemBoys || 138.88 || ↓ 3.40
5. NC Bad Boys || 130.40 || ↑ 12.99
6. Peyton’s Girl || 122.79 || ↓ 14.24
7. Pick 6’n || 122.36 || ↓ 49.22
8. Clam Diggers || 122.29 || ↓ 28.91
9. Maclin on Your Girl || 115.82 || ↓ 13.73
10. Hakeem I Saw I Conquered || 105.94 || ↓ 42.61
11. The Monstars || 96.44 || ↑ 0.05
12. I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks || 91.04 || ↓ 29.53
Class of 2013:
Team || Power Ranking || Trending Up/Down
1. The Pride of Detroit || 178.28 || ↓ 3.84
2. Surprise Scorpians || 148.26 || ↓ 14.72
3. I go Deep || 141.30 || ↓ 3.93
4. F-U-Pay-Me || 140.23 || ↓ 20.31
5. The Wilkesboro Boxers || 136.76 || ↓ 16.70
6. Steak n’ Eggs || 130.61 || ↑ 10.97
7. V-Town || 127.24 || ↓ 10.19
8. DeSeantourage || 111.64 || ↓ 10.24
9. High On Weeden || 110.73 || ↓ 15.96
10. Eventual Champions || 109.13 || ↓ 2.06
11. Hero7861 || 105.28 || ↓ 4.04
12. PizzaFreak || 102.56 || ↓ 9.45
***Week 4 Match Up Previews (Origins)***
I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks (1-2) at #10 NC Bad Boys (2-1)
X-Factors:
I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks: LeSean McCoy-RB (22.10) / NC Bad Boys: Darren Sproles-RB (26.20)
James Laurinaitis (9 Tack, 3 Ast) put up 13.50 points Thursday night to give I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks a 13.50 – 0.00 lead over the NC Bad Boys. The 13.50 points scored by James Laurinaitis was a season-high.
The NC Bad Boys has stood pat on their lineup since Thursday, but still has Jerrell Freeman (0.00 projected points) starting this week. They may consider starting Jay Cutler (13.98 projected points) over Robert Griffin III (10.92 projected points) and adding Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start in place of Bilal Powell (11.00 projected points).
I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks hasn’t made any changes to their lineup. They might also be interested in picking up Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start over Jacquizz Rodgers (8.50 projected points) and adding Jermaine Gresham (6.60 projected points) to start in place of Brandon Myers (4.90 projected points).
Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice: I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks should consider starting Kenbrell Thompkins-WR and sitting Steve Smith-WR.
Clam Diggers (2-1) at #8 Pick 6’n (2-1)
X-Factors:
Clam Diggers: Wes Welker-WR (23.00) / Pick 6’n: Michael Vick-QB (19.50)
Frank Gore (153 Rsh Yds, 1 TD) beat his 16.20-point projection by 19.1% Thursday night to give Pick 6’n a 19.30 – 14.18 lead over the Clam Diggers. For Clam Diggers, both Colin Kaepernick (11.78 points) and Daryl Richardson (2.40 points) scored fewer points than their projection.
The Clam Diggers picked up one player since Thursday, adding Shaun Phillips (15.00 projected points) while cutting James Starks (bye). They’ve also made one lineup change, starting Danny Amendola (9.10 projected points) while benching Luke Kuechly (bye). They may consider picking up Nate Washington (14.90 projected points) to start over Danny Amendola (9.10 projected points) and adding Alex Henery (14.00 projected points) to start in place of Randy Bullock (4.00 projected points).
Pick 6’n has not made any changes to their lineup, but still has one empty position and one player with zero projected points. They might be interested in starting Jerricho Cotchery (15.60 projected points) over Andre Johnson (10.90 projected points) and might also consider adding Alex Henery (14.00 projected points) to start in place of Matt Prater (7.00 projected points).
Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice: Pick 6’n should consider starting Ray Rice-RB over Daniel Thomas-RB.
Peyton’s Girl (1-2) at Maclin on Your Girl (1-2)
X-Factors:
Peyton’s Girl: Alfred Morris-RB (22.20) / Maclin on Your Girl: Tom Brady-QB (20.24)
Maclin on Your Girl had both Tavon Austin (4.50 points) and Patrick Willis (0.00 points) score under their projections Thursday night, but still leads Peyton’s Girl 4.50 – 2.68. For Peyton’s Girl, Sam Bradford (202 Pas Yds, 1 TD/1 Int) scored 2.68 points, though it was just 32.9% of his projected 8.14.
Peyton’s Girl has stood pat on their lineup since Thursday. They may consider starting Dwayne Bowe (11.80 projected points) over Leonard Hankerson (1.80 projected points) and adding Harry Douglas (13.40 projected points) to start in place of Victor Cruz (9.60 projected points).
Maclin on Your Girl has kept their lineup the same, but still has Gerald McCoy (0.00 projected points) listed as a starter. They might be interested in starting Bryce Brown (9.40 projected points) over Bernard Pierce (5.10 projected points) and adding Nate Washington (14.90 projected points) to start in place of Marques Colston (5.30 projected points).
Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice: Peyton’s Girl should strongly consider starting Dwayne Bowe-WR and sitting Trindon Holliday-WR.
#1 St Pete ConVICKS (3-0) at Dem Boys (2-1)
X-Factors:
St Pete ConVICKS: C.J. Spiller-RB (21.30) / DemBoys: Geno Atkins-DL (21.00)
NaVorro Bowman (2 Sack, 5 Tack) beat his 8.00-point projection by 68.8% Thursday night to give the St Pete ConVICKS a 13.50 – 0.00 lead over DemBoys.
The St Pete ConVICKS has not made any changes to their lineup since Thursday. They might consider picking up Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start over Matt Forte (12.10 projected points) and substituting DeAndre Hopkins (7.80 projected points) for Steve Johnson (1.10 projected points).
DemBoys has kept their lineup the same, but still has two players projected to score zero points. They could be interested in starting Ben Tate (4.00 projected points) over Chris Ivory (0.00 projected points) and adding Le’Veon Bell (11.60 projected points) to start in place of Lamar Miller (5.00 projected points).
Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice: The St Pete ConVICKS should consider starting Matthew Stafford-QB and sitting Alex Smith-QB.
The Monstars (1-2) at Hakeem I Saw I Conquered (0-3)
X-Factors:
The Monstars: David Wilson-RB (16.00) / Hakeem I Saw I Conquered: Ben Roethlisberger-QB (16.64)
Hakeem I Saw I Conquered had both Anquan Boldin (15.00 points) and Phil Dawson (5.00 points) score under their projections Thursday night, but still leads The Monstars 20.00 – 0.00. The 15.00 points scored by Anquan Boldin was his second-highest score of the season.
The Monstars has made some changes to their lineup since Thursday, starting Eddie Royal (16.60 projected points), Emmanuel Sanders (7.10 projected points), and DeMarcus Ware (5.00 projected points) while benching Carlos Dunlap (1.00 projected point), Roddy White (9.50 projected points), and two others. They’ll still need to replace Lardarius Webb (0.00 projected points) in the starting lineup. The Monstars could be interested in picking up Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start over Trent Richardson (7.50 projected points) and substituting Mike Williams (9.90 projected points) for Emmanuel Sanders (7.10 projected points).
Hakeem I Saw I Conquered has kept their lineup the same, but still has three players projected to score zero points. They could also be interested in picking up Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start over Fred Jackson (8.00 projected points) and adding Le’Veon Bell (11.60 projected points) to start in place of Stevan Ridley (8.90 projected points).
Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice: The Monstars should consider starting Mike Williams-WR and sitting Emmanuel Sanders-WR. Hakeem I Saw I Conquered should consider starting Torrey Smith-WR and sitting Hakeem Nicks-WR.
Weapons of Mass Production (1-2) at #9 BUCKNASTY’S BOYS (2-1)
X-Factors:
Weapons of Mass Production: Peyton Manning-QB (22.72) / BUCKNASTY’S BOYS: A.J. Green-WR (23.30)
Greg Zuerlein scored only 37.5% of his 8.00-point projection Thursday night, but Weapons of Mass Production still leads the BUCKNASTY’S BOYS 3.00 – 1.50. For the BUCKNASTY’S BOYS, Justin Smith scored 1.50 points, though it was just 37.5% of his 4.00-point projection.
No lineup changes have been made for either team since Thursday. Weapons of Mass Production may consider starting Rashard Mendenhall (9.90 projected points) over DeMarco Murray (7.80 projected points) and substituting Denarius Moore (15.30 projected points) for Mike Wallace (10.20 projected points).
The BUCKNASTY’S BOYS might consider picking up Ryan Tannehill (15.44 projected points) to start over Matt Ryan (11.84 projected points) and adding Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start in place of Chris Johnson (7.00 projected points).
***Around The League! (Origins)***
- With a margin of 64.62 points, the NC Bad Boys is projected to win by the most points in the league this season.
- The BUCKNASTY’S BOYS has been consistently overvalued this season, having fallen short of their projected score every week of the year.
- Hakeem I Saw I Conquered has had a tough start relative to expectations, missing their projected score every week of the season so far.
- Peyton’s Girl may have received a gift from the schedule-makers, as their 118.04 projected points are the fewest this season for a team expected to win.
- The Monstars has had a tough start relative to expectations, missing their projected score every week of the season so far.
- Maclin on Your Girl has been consistently undervalued this season, having exceeded their projected score every week of the year.
- I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks, the BUCKNASTY’S BOYS, and two others are expected to lose by more than 30 points this week. This season, that type of longshot has pulled the shocker only 16.7% of the time.
- Pick 6’n is expected to lose by 15.18 points this week. In this league, projected losers of that magnitude have pulled the upset 83.3% of the time.
- It has been a tough start for Hakeem I Saw I Conquered, who has lost three games in a row.
- Coming off the lowest single-week score in the league this season (81.42), Hakeem I Saw I Conquered will be looking to bounce back strong this week.
- Maclin on Your Girl is expected to lose by 0.10 points this week. This season, that type of small underdog has won 100.0% of the time.
- Being expected to win hasn’t meant a lot in this league. This season, projected losers have won a surprising 61.1% of all games.
- The St Pete ConVICKS has won three games in a row to begin the season.
- There are expected to be some blowouts across the league this week, with an average margin of victory of 34.48 points.
- Last week’s highest-scoring team was I Got Sacks On Sacks On Sacks, with 149.26 points.
- By exceeding their projected score by 23.7%, Maclin on Your Girl was tops in the league in that category last week.
- The projected top team in points this week is the NC Bad Boys, who is estimated to tally 181.72 points.
- By scoring just 62.1% of their point projection last week, DemBoys recorded the lowest mark in the league in that category.
- The unfortunate team pegged to have the lowest score in the league this week is Hakeem I Saw I Conquered, who is projected to have 98.44 points.
***Week 4 Match Up Previews (Class of 2013)***
High On Weeden (1-2) at #3 Hero7861 (2-1)
X-Factors:
High On Weeden: Michael Johnson-DL (18.00) / Hero7861: Peyton Manning-QB (22.72)
#3 Hero7861 (2-1, 416.32) matches up against High On Weeden (1-2, 365.26) in Week 4. It’ll be a photo finish, with Hero7861 favored to win by just 2.44 points.
Hero7861 has a sizable advantage at the DL position, where Nick Fairley and Tamba Hali are projected to outscore Carlos Dunlap and Michael Johnson, 26.00 – 19.00. For High On Weeden to compete, they’ll need big games from their three WRs, who are expected to beat the WRs from Hero7861, 40.30 – 26.20. Hero7861 has four players facing a top-10 defense while one more faces a bottom-10-ranked defense. High On Weeden has three starters going up against a top-10 defense and two against a defense ranked in the bottom 10.
Hero7861 has not made any lineup changes since Thursday, but still has Jerrell Freeman (0.00 projected points) in their starting lineup. They might consider starting Golden Tate (2.00 projected points) over Stephen Hill (1.40 projected points) and adding Trindon Holliday (14.90 projected points) to start in place of Dwayne Bowe (11.80 projected points).
High On Weeden has not made any changes to their lineup. They might want to think about starting Shonn Greene (9.40 projected points) over Trent Richardson (7.50 projected points) and adding Jerricho Cotchery (15.60 projected points) to start in place of Reggie Wayne (10.60 projected points).
Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice: High On Weeden Should consider starting Rob Gronkowski-TE and sitting Brandon Pettigrew-TE.
#5 The Wilkesboro Boxers (2-1) at #7 Steak n’ Eggs (2-1) (Game of the Week)
X-Factors:
The Wilkesboro Boxers: Darren Sproles-RB (26.20) / Steak n’ Eggs: Alfred Morris-RB (22.20)
Robert Quinn (1 Sack) put up 4.00 points Thursday night to lead The Wilkesboro Boxers to a 5.00 – 0.00 advantage over Steak n’ Eggs. Cortland Finnegan added 1.00 point, though it was just 25.0% of his projected 4.00.
The Wilkesboro Boxers has not made any lineup changes since Thursday, but still has Da’Norris Searcy (0.00 projected points) in their starting lineup. They could be interested in picking up Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start over Joique Bell (7.80 projected points) and substituting Greg Jennings (12.80 projected points) for Julian Edelman (8.40 projected points).
Steak n’ Eggs has kept their lineup the same, but still has Cameron Wake (0.00 projected points) listed as a starter. They might also want to think about picking up Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start over Matt Forte (12.10 projected points) and substituting Sidney Rice (13.60 projected points) for Marques Colston (5.30 projected points).
Eventual Champions (0-3) at #4 PizzaFreak (2-1)
X-Factors:
Eventual Champions: Brandon Spikes-LB (17.00) / PizzaFreak: Dez Bryant-WR (16.80)
Anquan Boldin (90 Rec Yds, 1 TD) put up 15.00 points Thursday night to give PizzaFreak a 15.00 – 0.00 lead over Eventual Champions. For Eventual Champions, Patrick Willis put up zero points.
PizzaFreak has stood pat on their lineup since Thursday, but still has Kiko Alonso (0.00 projected points) starting this week. They might want to think about picking up Ben Roethlisberger (16.64 projected points) to start over Robert Griffin III (10.92 projected points) and substituting Le’Veon Bell (11.60 projected points) for DeMarco Murray (7.80 projected points).
Meanwhile, Eventual Champions added one player, picking up Brandon Spikes (17.00 projected points) while dropping Aldon Smith (0.00 projected points). They’ve also made some changes to their lineup, starting Philip Wheeler (7.00 projected points), Ray Rice (11.30 projected points), and David Wilson (16.00 projected points) while placing Zach Brown (0.00 projected points) and Ted Ginn (bye) on the bench. They might also consider picking up Ben Roethlisberger (16.64 projected points) to start over Tony Romo (12.44 projected points) and adding Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start in place of Chris Johnson (7.00 projected points).
Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice: Eventual Champions should consider starting T.Y. Hilton-WR and sitting Hakeem Nicks-WR.
#2 DeSeantourage (3-0) at Surprise Scorpians (1-2)
X-Factors:
DeSeantourage: C.J. Spiller-RB (21.30) / Surprise Scorpians: Frank Gore-RB (16.20)
Frank Gore (153 Rsh Yds, 1 TD) scored 19.30 points Thursday night and Tavon Austin (6 Rec Yds) added 4.50 to lead Surprise Scorpians to a 26.20 – 21.50 advantage over DeSeantourage. For DeSeantourage, NaVorro Bowman (2 Sack, 5 Tack) scored 13.50 points while Janoris Jenkins (3 Tack) recorded 5.00.
DeSeantourage has stood pat on their lineup since Thursday. They could be interested in picking up Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start over Reggie Bush (11.90 projected points) and substituting Aaron Dobson (4.90 projected points) for Steve Johnson (1.10 projected points).
Meanwhile, Surprise Scorpians made one pickup, adding Erin Henderson (8.00 projected points) while dropping Michael Floyd (1.90 projected points). They’ve also made some changes to their lineup, starting Jay Cutler (13.98 projected points), Daryl Richardson (probable), and Kenbrell Thompkins (11.00 projected points) while placing Matt Ryan (11.84 projected points), Jerome Simpson (5.00 projected points), and two others on the bench. They’ll still need to replace Vontaze Burfict (0.00 projected points) in the starting lineup. Surprise Scorpians might consider picking up Jerricho Cotchery (15.60 projected points) to start over Kenbrell Thompkins (11.00 projected points) and adding Coby Fleener (9.60 projected points) to start in place of Martellus Bennett (6.90 projected points).
#6 The Pride of Detroit (2-1) at V-Town (1-2)
X-Factors:
The Pride of Detroit: Wes Welker-WR (23.00) / V-Town: Geno Atkins-DL (21.00)
Colin Kaepernick (167 Pas Yds, 2 TD) scored only 60.1% of his 19.60-point projection Thursday night, but V-Town still leads The Pride of Detroit 11.78 – 0.00.
The Pride of Detroit didn’t make any lineup changes since Thursday. They might consider picking up Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start over BenJarvus Green-Ellis (7.90 projected points) and substituting Wes Welker (23.00 projected points) for Eddie Royal (16.60 projected points).
Meanwhile, V-Town made six pickups, adding Harrison Smith (17.00 projected points), Geno Atkins (21.00 projected points), and four others while dropping Terrell Thomas (0.00 projected points), Justin Smith (probable), and four others. They’ve also made one change to their lineup, starting Eric Decker (11.10 projected points) while placing Randall Cobb (bye) on the bench. They might be interested in starting Jason Snelling (8.60 projected points) over Pierre Thomas (4.10 projected points) and substituting Nate Washington (14.90 projected points) for Eric Decker (11.10 projected points).
Start ‘Em/Sit ‘Em Advice: The Pride of Detroit should consider starting Wes Welker-WR and sitting Eddie Royal-WR. V-Town should consider starting Jason Snelling-RB and sitting Pierre Thomas-RB.
F-U-Pay-Me (1-2) at I go Deep (1-2)
X-Factors:
F-U-Pay-Me: Adrian Peterson-RB (22.80) / I go Deep: A.J. Green-WR (23.30)
Phil Dawson scored only 62.5% of his 8.00-point projection Thursday night, but F-U-Pay-Me still leads I go Deep 5.00 – 0.00.
I go Deep didn’t make any lineup changes since Thursday, but still has two players projected to score zero points. They may consider starting Montee Ball (3.50 projected points) over Chris Ivory (0.00 projected points) and adding Bryce Brown (9.40 projected points) to start in place of Bernard Pierce (5.10 projected points).
Meanwhile, F-U-Pay-Me has made one change to their lineup, starting Eli Manning (5.72 projected points) while placing Aaron Rodgers (bye) on the bench. They might consider picking up Ben Roethlisberger (16.64 projected points) to start over Eli Manning (5.72 projected points) and adding Danny Woodhead (16.70 projected points) to start in place of Fred Jackson (8.00 projected points).
***Around The League! (Class of 2013)***
- I go Deep has been consistently overvalued this season, having fallen short of their projected score every week of the year.
- With 178.80 points last week, The Pride of Detroit had the highest single-week score in the league this season.
- V-Town has had a tough start relative to expectations, missing their projected score every week of the season so far.
- I go Deep may have received a gift from the schedule-makers, as their 107.44 projected points are the fewest this season for a team expected to win.
- Eventual Champions has been consistently overvalued this season, having fallen short of their projected score every week of the year.
- PizzaFreak has had a tough start relative to expectations, missing their projected score every week of the season so far.
- Steak n’ Eggs is expected to lose by 24.54 points this week. Underdogs of that magnitude have won the game 50.0% of the time this season.
- It has been a tough start for Eventual Champions, who has lost three games in a row.
- Eventual Champions is expected to lose by 14.78 points this week. In this league, projected losers of that magnitude have pulled the upset 0.0% of the time.
- High On Weeden, F-U-Pay-Me, and two others are expected to lose by fewer than 10 points this week. This season, that type of small underdog has won 40.0% of the time.
- Coming off the lowest single-week score in the league this season (93.66), F-U-Pay-Me will be looking to bounce back strong this week.
- DeSeantourage has won three games in a row to begin the season.
- With an average margin of victory of just 8.06 points, there should be some exciting finishes in the league this week.
- As expected, projected losers have won just 33.3% of the time in this league.
- By exceeding their projected score by 12.1%, The Pride of Detroit was tops in the league in that category last week.
- By scoring just 63.2% of their point projection last week, F-U-Pay-Me recorded the lowest mark in the league in that category.
- The projected top team in points this week is The Pride of Detroit, who is estimated to tally 177.16 points.
- The unfortunate team pegged to have the lowest score in the league this week is F-U-Pay-Me, who is projected to have 105.42 points.
